Polymarket

IL-14 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 25-30% at 28%, ahead of Democrat 20-25% at 27%. $20 traded in the last 24 hours, $12K in all.

Favorite
Democrat 25-30% 28%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$20
Traded in all
$12K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 9)

  1. Democrat 25-30%28%
  2. Democrat 20-25%27%▼ 0
  3. Democrat 10-15%17%▲ 6
  4. Democrat 15-20%13%▲ 1
  5. Democrat 30-35%5%▼ 3
  6. Democrat 5-10%4%▼ 4

3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%11:34 AM11:34 PM11:34 AM28% Democrat 25-30%

The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 25-30%. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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