Polymarket
IL-15 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 25-30% at 35%, ahead of Republican 30-35% at 21%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $14K in all.
- Favorite
- Republican 25-30% 35%
- 24 hours
- up 2 pts
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $14K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Republican 25-30%35%▲ 2
- Republican 30-35%21%
- Republican 45-50%15%▲ 10
- Republican 20-25%14%
- Republican 35-40%13%▼ 2
- Republican 40-45%5%
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%8:11 AM8:11 PM8:11 AM35% Republican 25-30%
The line follows the current favorite, Republican 25-30%. One reading an hour.
Embed these odds on your site
Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.
See this market on Polymarket →
More other elections markets
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?Nithya Raman 62%
- California Governor winner? (Person)Xavier Becerra 96%
- Lima Mayoral Election WinnerRafael López Aliaga 97%
- Bulgaria Presidential ElectionIliana Iotova 90%
- Los Angeles Mayoral ElectionNithya Raman 61%
- 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)Democrats, 8 to 10% 28%
- Serbia Parliamentary Election WinnerAleksandar Vučić – United Serbia 59%
- Taipei mayoral election winner?Chiang Wan-an 70%
Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
