Polymarket
IL-16 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 15-20% at 25%, ahead of Republican 10-15% at 24%. $29 traded in the last 24 hours, $9K in all.
- Favorite
- Republican 15-20% 25%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $29
- Traded in all
- $9K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 8)
- Republican 15-20%25%
- Republican 10-15%24%▲ 3
- Republican 20-25%23%
- Republican 5-10%20%▲ 4
- Republican 25-30%10%▼ 1
- Republican 0-5%5%▼ 0
2 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%10:40 AM10:40 PM10:40 AM25% Republican 15-20%
The line follows the current favorite, Republican 15-20%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
