Kalshi

Josh Shapiro margin of victory

Pennsylvania Governor

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Shapiro, 4+ pts at 98%, ahead of Shapiro, 7+ pts at 97%. $1K traded in the last 24 hours, $6K in all.

Favorite
Shapiro, 4+ pts 98%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$1K
Traded in all
$6K
Closes
November 3, 2027

Every outcome (top 6 of 9)

  1. Shapiro, 4+ pts98%
  2. Shapiro, 7+ pts97%
  3. Shapiro, 10+ pts97%
  4. Shapiro, 13+ pts96%
  5. Shapiro, 16+ pts91%
  6. Shapiro, 19+ pts79%

3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%9:51 AM9:51 PM9:51 AM98% Shapiro, 4+ pts

The line follows the current favorite, Shapiro, 4+ pts. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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