Polymarket
KS-01 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 20-25% at 33%, ahead of Republican 15-20% at 23%. $169 traded in the last 24 hours, $11K in all.
- Favorite
- Republican 20-25% 33%
- 24 hours
- down 2 pts
- Traded today
- $169
- Traded in all
- $11K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 9)
- Republican 20-25%33%▼ 2
- Republican 15-20%23%▼ 0
- Republican 30-35%19%▲ 2
- Republican 25-30%18%
- Republican 35-40%9%
- Republican 40%+5%
3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%3:45 AM3:45 PM3:45 AM33% Republican 20-25%
The line follows the current favorite, Republican 20-25%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
