Polymarket
KS-02 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 9-12% at 21%, ahead of Republican 12-15% at 20%. $143 traded in the last 24 hours, $8K in all.
- Favorite
- Republican 9-12% 21%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $143
- Traded in all
- $8K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Republican 9-12%21%
- Republican 12-15%20%▲ 1
- Republican 15-18%16%▲ 3
- Republican 6-9%14%▲ 1
- Republican 3-6%14%▼ 1
- Republican 21%+14%▲ 2
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%6:18 AM6:18 PM6:18 AM21% Republican 9-12%
The line follows the current favorite, Republican 9-12%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
