Polymarket

KS-03 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 20-25% at 31%, ahead of Democrat 15-20% at 20%. $29 traded in the last 24 hours, $13K in all.

Favorite
Democrat 20-25% 31%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$29
Traded in all
$13K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 8)

  1. Democrat 20-25%31%
  2. Democrat 15-20%20%▲ 1
  3. Democrat 25-30%17%
  4. Democrat 10-15%14%
  5. Republican Wins13%▲ 2
  6. Democrat 5-10%5%

2 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%5:33 AM5:33 PM5:33 AM31% Democrat 20-25%

The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 20-25%. One reading an hour.

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