Polymarket
KS-04 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 15-20% at 34%, ahead of Republican 20-25% at 25%. $79 traded in the last 24 hours, $9K in all.
- Favorite
- Republican 15-20% 34%
- 24 hours
- down 0 pts
- Traded today
- $79
- Traded in all
- $9K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 8)
- Republican 15-20%34%▼ 0
- Republican 20-25%25%▲ 3
- Republican 10-15%20%
- Republican 25-30%20%▲ 6
- Republican 5-10%14%
- Democrat Wins13%▲ 9
2 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%5:27 AM5:27 PM5:27 AM34% Republican 15-20%
The line follows the current favorite, Republican 15-20%. One reading an hour.
Embed these odds on your site
Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.
See this market on Polymarket →
More other elections markets
- California Governor winner? (Person)Xavier Becerra 96%
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?Nithya Raman 60%
- Lima Mayoral Election WinnerRafael López Aliaga 97%
- Bulgaria Presidential ElectionIliana Iotova 89%
- Serbia Parliamentary Election WinnerAleksandar Vučić – United Serbia 56%
- 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)Democrats, 8 to 10% 28%
- Los Angeles Mayoral ElectionNithya Raman 59%
- Taipei mayoral election winner?Chiang Wan-an 71%
Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
