Polymarket

KY-01 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 30-35% at 22%, ahead of Republican 40-45% at 21%. $38 traded in the last 24 hours, $12K in all.

Favorite
Republican 30-35% 22%
24 hours
down 3 pts
Traded today
$38
Traded in all
$12K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 10)

  1. Republican 30-35%22%▼ 3
  2. Republican 40-45%21%▼ 4
  3. Republican 35-40%20%▲ 1
  4. Republican 45-50%17%▼ 1
  5. Republican 25-30%7%▼ 1
  6. Republican 0-15%6%▲ 2

4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%8:10 AM8:10 PM8:10 AM22% Republican 30-35%

The line follows the current favorite, Republican 30-35%. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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