Polymarket

KY-02 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 30-35% at 36%, ahead of Republican 35-40% at 32%. $477 traded in the last 24 hours, $16K in all.

Favorite
Republican 30-35% 36%
24 hours
down 2 pts
Traded today
$477
Traded in all
$16K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 10)

  1. Republican 30-35%36%▼ 2
  2. Republican 35-40%32%
  3. Republican 25-30%17%
  4. Republican 40-45%10%
  5. Republican 45-50%9%▲ 1
  6. Republican 50%+8%▲ 7

4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%3:46 AM3:46 PM3:46 AM36% Republican 30-35%

The line follows the current favorite, Republican 30-35%. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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