Polymarket

KY-03 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 30-35% at 35%, ahead of Democrat 25-30% at 27%. $931 traded in the last 24 hours, $12K in all.

Favorite
Democrat 30-35% 35%
24 hours
down 2 pts
Traded today
$931
Traded in all
$12K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 10)

  1. Democrat 30-35%35%▼ 2
  2. Democrat 25-30%27%▼ 0
  3. Democrat 35-40%18%▲ 1
  4. Democrat 40-45%11%▲ 5
  5. Democrat 20-25%7%
  6. Democrat 45%+5%▲ 2

4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%9:54 AM9:54 PM9:54 AM35% Democrat 30-35%

The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 30-35%. One reading an hour.

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