Polymarket

KY-05 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 55-60% at 28%, ahead of Republican 50-55% at 27%. $37 traded in the last 24 hours, $10K in all.

Favorite
Republican 55-60% 28%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$37
Traded in all
$10K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 10)

  1. Republican 55-60%28%
  2. Republican 50-55%27%▲ 1
  3. Republican 60-65%25%
  4. Republican 45-50%15%▼ 2
  5. Republican 0-30%6%
  6. Republican 30-40%4%

4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%6:19 AM6:19 PM6:19 AM28% Republican 55-60%

The line follows the current favorite, Republican 55-60%. One reading an hour.

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