Polymarket

LA Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory?

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Raman 4-8% at 32%, ahead of Raman 0-4% at 28%. $763 traded in the last 24 hours, $7K in all.

Favorite
Raman 4-8% 32%
24 hours
down 1 pts
Traded today
$763
Traded in all
$7K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 12)

  1. Raman 4-8%32%▼ 1
  2. Raman 0-4%28%▲ 2
  3. Raman 8-12%12%▲ 2
  4. Raman 12-16%8%▲ 1
  5. Bass 4-8%8%▲ 3
  6. Bass 0-4%6%▲ 1

6 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%10:40 AM10:40 PM10:40 AM32% Raman 4-8%

The line follows the current favorite, Raman 4-8%. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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