Polymarket

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Amal Movement (Amal) at 1%, ahead of Lebanese Forces (LF) at less than 1%. $29 traded in the last 24 hours, $678K in all.

Favorite
Amal Movement (Amal) 1%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$29
Traded in all
$678K
Closes
May 11, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 23)

  1. Amal Movement (Amal)1%
  2. Lebanese Forces (LF)<1%
  3. Hezbollah (Hezb)<1%
  4. Free Patriotic Movement (FPM)<1%
  5. Progressive Socialist Party (PSP)<1%
  6. Kataeb Party (Kataeb)<1%

17 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%9:53 AM9:53 PM9:53 AM1% Amal Movement (Amal)

The line follows the current favorite, Amal Movement (Amal). One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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