Kalshi
Lima Mayor winner?
in 2026
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Rafael López Aliaga at 99%, ahead of Carlos Bruce at 35%. $4K traded in the last 24 hours, $59K in all.
- Favorite
- Rafael López Aliaga 99%
- 24 hours
- up 5 pts
- Traded today
- $4K
- Traded in all
- $59K
- Closes
- October 4, 2027
Every outcome (top 6 of 11)
- Rafael López Aliaga99%▲ 5
- Carlos Bruce35%▲ 29
- Francis Allison1%▼ 5
- Ricardo Belmont1%
- Samuel Daza1%
- Susel Paredes1%▼ 1
5 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%4:32 AM4:32 PM4:32 AM99% Rafael López Aliaga
The line follows the current favorite, Rafael López Aliaga. One reading an hour.
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More other elections markets
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- 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)Democrats, 8 to 10% 28%
- Los Angeles Mayoral ElectionNithya Raman 59%
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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
