Kalshi

Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Karen Bass)

On Nov 3, 2026

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Karen Bass, ≥2% at 27%, ahead of Karen Bass, ≥4% at 19%. $621 traded in the last 24 hours, $6K in all.

Favorite
Karen Bass, ≥2% 27%
24 hours
down 5 pts
Traded today
$621
Traded in all
$6K
Closes
November 3, 2027

Every outcome

  1. Karen Bass, ≥2%27%▼ 5
  2. Karen Bass, ≥4%19%▼ 5
  3. Karen Bass, ≥6%16%
  4. Karen Bass, ≥8%12%
  5. Karen Bass, ≥10%9%

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%9:09 AM9:09 PM9:09 AM27% Karen Bass, ≥2%

The line follows the current favorite, Karen Bass, ≥2%. One reading an hour.

Embed these odds on your site

Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.

See this market on Kalshi →

More other elections markets

Every other elections market →

Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

Data partnerLunarCrushThe Pulse, our social buzz and sentiment data, is powered by LunarCrush. How it works