Polymarket
MA-04 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 35-40% at 30%, ahead of Democrat 30-35% at 26%. $5 traded in the last 24 hours, $11K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 35-40% 30%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $5
- Traded in all
- $11K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Democrat 35-40%30%
- Democrat 30-35%26%
- Democrat 25-30%16%▼ 1
- Democrat 40-45%9%
- Democrat 45%+7%
- Democrat 20-25%6%
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%5:27 AM5:27 PM5:27 AM30% Democrat 35-40%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 35-40%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
