Polymarket
MD-01 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 9-12% at 28%, ahead of Republican 12-15% at 24%. $93 traded in the last 24 hours, $7K in all.
- Favorite
- Republican 9-12% 28%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $93
- Traded in all
- $7K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Republican 9-12%28%
- Republican 12-15%24%▲ 5
- Republican 15-18%17%▲ 1
- Republican 6-9%11%▼ 2
- Republican 18-21%10%▼ 0
- Republican 0-3%7%▼ 1
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%12:14 PM12:14 AM12:14 PM28% Republican 9-12%
The line follows the current favorite, Republican 9-12%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.