Polymarket

MD-01 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 9-12% at 28%, ahead of Republican 12-15% at 24%. $93 traded in the last 24 hours, $7K in all.

Favorite
Republican 9-12% 28%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$93
Traded in all
$7K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 10)

  1. Republican 9-12%28%
  2. Republican 12-15%24%▲ 5
  3. Republican 15-18%17%▲ 1
  4. Republican 6-9%11%▼ 2
  5. Republican 18-21%10%▼ 0
  6. Republican 0-3%7%▼ 1

4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%12:14 PM12:14 AM12:14 PM28% Republican 9-12%

The line follows the current favorite, Republican 9-12%. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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