Polymarket
MD-02 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 25-30% at 30%, ahead of Democrat 30-35% at 27%. $94 traded in the last 24 hours, $8K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 25-30% 30%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $94
- Traded in all
- $8K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 9)
- Democrat 25-30%30%
- Democrat 30-35%27%
- Democrat 35-40%18%▼ 1
- Democrat 20-25%14%▼ 2
- Democrat 10-15%13%▲ 8
- Democrat 15-20%5%
3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%2:47 AM2:47 PM2:47 AM30% Democrat 25-30%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 25-30%. One reading an hour.
Embed these odds on your site
Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.
See this market on Polymarket →
More other elections markets
- California Governor winner? (Person)Xavier Becerra 96%
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?Nithya Raman 60%
- Lima Mayoral Election WinnerRafael López Aliaga 92%
- Bulgaria Presidential ElectionIliana Iotova 89%
- 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)Democrats, 8 to 10% 28%
- Los Angeles Mayoral ElectionNithya Raman 60%
- Serbia Parliamentary Election WinnerAleksandar Vučić – United Serbia 66%
- Taipei mayoral election winner?Chiang Wan-an 71%
Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
