Polymarket
MD-05 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 45-50% at 28%, ahead of Democrat 40-45% at 26%. $344 traded in the last 24 hours, $6K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 45-50% 28%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $344
- Traded in all
- $6K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Democrat 45-50%28%
- Democrat 40-45%26%▼ 0
- Democrat 35-40%22%▼ 7
- Democrat 30-35%13%▲ 2
- Democrat 50-55%12%
- Democrat 55%+6%▲ 1
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%5:27 AM5:27 PM5:27 AM28% Democrat 45-50%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 45-50%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
