Polymarket

MD-06 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 20-25% at 28%, ahead of Democrat 15-20% at 25%. $6 traded in the last 24 hours, $11K in all.

Favorite
Democrat 20-25% 28%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$6
Traded in all
$11K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 8)

  1. Democrat 20-25%28%
  2. Democrat 15-20%25%▼ 3
  3. Democrat 25%+24%▼ 1
  4. Democrat 10-15%14%
  5. Democrat 0-5%5%
  6. Democrat 5-10%3%

2 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%8:14 AM8:14 PM8:14 AM28% Democrat 20-25%

The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 20-25%. One reading an hour.

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