Polymarket

MD-08 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 60-65% at 32%, ahead of Democrat 65-70% at 26%. $382 traded in the last 24 hours, $14K in all.

Favorite
Democrat 60-65% 32%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$382
Traded in all
$14K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 10)

  1. Democrat 60-65%32%
  2. Democrat 65-70%26%▲ 6
  3. Democrat 55-60%16%▼ 0
  4. Democrat 70-75%13%▲ 1
  5. Democrat 50-55%10%▼ 5
  6. Democrat 80%+5%

4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%10:36 AM10:36 PM10:36 AM32% Democrat 60-65%

The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 60-65%. One reading an hour.

Embed these odds on your site

Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.

See this market on Polymarket →

More other elections markets

Every other elections market →

Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

Data partnerLunarCrushThe Pulse, our social buzz and sentiment data, is powered by LunarCrush. How it works