Polymarket

ME-01 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 25-30% at 22%, ahead of Democrat 35-40% at 21%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $8K in all.

Favorite
Democrat 25-30% 22%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$0
Traded in all
$8K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 10)

  1. Democrat 25-30%22%
  2. Democrat 35-40%21%▲ 4
  3. Democrat 30-35%18%▼ 0
  4. Democrat 5-15%15%▲ 4
  5. Democrat 20-25%13%▼ 2
  6. Democrat 40-45%8%

4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%5:27 AM5:27 PM5:27 AM22% Democrat 25-30%

The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 25-30%. One reading an hour.

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