Polymarket

MI-09 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 20-25% at 31%, ahead of Republican 25-30% at 30%. $792 traded in the last 24 hours, $11K in all.

Favorite
Republican 20-25% 31%
24 hours
down 1 pts
Traded today
$792
Traded in all
$11K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 10)

  1. Republican 20-25%31%▼ 1
  2. Republican 25-30%30%▲ 11
  3. Republican 30-35%22%▼ 3
  4. Republican 45%+7%▲ 3
  5. Republican 15-20%6%▼ 1
  6. Republican 5-15%5%▲ 3

4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%4:40 AM4:40 PM4:40 AM31% Republican 20-25%

The line follows the current favorite, Republican 20-25%. One reading an hour.

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