Polymarket
MI-11 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 30-35% at 42%, ahead of Democrat 25-30% at 30%. $4K traded in the last 24 hours, $15K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 30-35% 42%
- 24 hours
- up 28 pts
- Traded today
- $4K
- Traded in all
- $15K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 9)
- Democrat 30-35%42%▲ 28
- Democrat 25-30%30%▲ 7
- Democrat 20-25%14%▼ 4
- Democrat 15-20%11%
- Democrat 10-15%8%▲ 2
- Democrat 35-40%5%
3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%2:49 AM2:49 PM2:49 AM42% Democrat 30-35%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 30-35%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
