Kalshi
Midterms: Democratic share of 2024 Trump voters?
On Nov 6, 2026
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Above 2% at 92%, ahead of Above 3% at 85%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $218 in all.
- Favorite
- Above 2% 92%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $218
- Closes
- November 6, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 9)
- Above 2%92%
- Above 3%85%
- Above 4%77%
- Above 5%70%
- Above 6%62%
- Above 7%55%
3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%11:52 AM11:52 PM11:52 AM92% Above 2%
The line follows the current favorite, Above 2%. One reading an hour.
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More trump and the white house markets
- Fed Decision in October?No change 79%
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?5%
- Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 5, 2026?38.5% 93%
- Fed Decision in December?25 bps increase 74%
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?Anna Kelly 21%
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?2%
- Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/4-10/10)160-179 22%
- How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (10/5-10/11) 7 52%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
