Kalshi
Midterms: Trump approval in the exit poll?
On Nov 6, 2026
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Above 34% at 77%, ahead of Above 36% at 63%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $420 in all.
- Favorite
- Above 34% 77%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $420
- Closes
- November 6, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 7)
- Above 34%77%
- Above 36%63%
- Above 38%44%
- Above 40%26%
- Above 42%19%
- Above 44%13%
1 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%6:40 AM6:40 PM6:40 AM77% Above 34%
The line follows the current favorite, Above 34%. One reading an hour.
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More trump and the white house markets
- Fed Decision in October?No change 84%
- Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 5, 2026?38.2% 35%
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?5%
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?Anna Kelly 22%
- Fed Decision in December?25 bps increase 72%
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?3%
- Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/4-10/10)160-179 22%
- Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?Before Jan 1, 2027 36%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
