Where does this market trade?

On Polymarket, a regulated prediction market (Polymarket). Parlay the People shows its prices; it is research, not betting advice.

Polymarket

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket give it a 7% chance. $12K traded in the last 24 hours, $1.8M in all.

Chance of Yes: 7%
24 hours: up 2 pts
Traded today: $12K
Traded in all: $1.8M
Closes: January 4, 2027

The odds

Yes7%▲ 2

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%5:15 AM5:15 PM5:15 AM7% Chance of Yes

The price of a Yes contract, read as the chance the market resolves Yes. One reading an hour.

Embed these odds on your site

Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.

<iframe src="https://parlaythepeople.com/embed/market/p-60692/" width="100%" height="190" style="border:0;max-width:420px" loading="lazy" title="Odds from Parlay the People"></iframe>

See this market on Polymarket →

More congress markets

Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?December 31, 2028 25%
Will the SAVE Act become law?3%
Will the Clarity Act become law?Before Jan 1, 2028 18%
Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?Florida 99%
Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks?Before Jan 21, 2029 33%
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?Shutdown & Democratic Party 93%
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?Raphael Warnock 12%
How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?Above 58 9%

Every congress market →

Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.