Polymarket
Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Florida at 99%, ahead of California at 98%. $552 traded in the last 24 hours, $419K in all.
- Favorite
- Florida 99%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $552
- Traded in all
- $419K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 22)
- Florida99%
- California98%
- Ohio97%▲ 2
- Texas96%▼ 1
- Louisiana95%▲ 4
- North Carolina93%▼ 2
16 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%2:46 PM2:46 AM2:46 PM99% Florida
The line follows the current favorite, Florida. One reading an hour.
Embed these odds on your site
Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.
See this market on Polymarket →
More congress markets
- Will the SAVE Act become law?3%
- Generic congressional ballot on Oct 5, 2026?8.7% 89%
- Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?7%
- Will the Clarity Act become law?Before Jan 1, 2028 18%
- Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?December 31, 2028 26%
- 2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of VictoryDemocrats 8-10% 29%
- U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?5%
- Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?Shutdown & Democratic Party 92%
Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
