Kalshi
Will the Clarity Act become law?
Before 2026
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Before Jan 1, 2028 at 18%, ahead of Before Oct 1, 2027 at 15%. $2K traded in the last 24 hours, $4.1M in all.
- Favorite
- Before Jan 1, 2028 18%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $2K
- Traded in all
- $4.1M
- Closes
- November 1, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 7)
- Before Jan 1, 202818%
- Before Oct 1, 202715%
- Before Jul 1, 202714%▼ 1
- Before Apr 1, 20277%▼ 3
- Before Jan 1, 20275%▲ 1
- Before Dec 1, 20263%
1 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%7:26 AM7:26 PM7:26 AM18% Before Jan 1, 2028
The line follows the current favorite, Before Jan 1, 2028. One reading an hour.
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- Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?Shutdown & Democratic Party 92%
- Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks?Before Jan 21, 2029 33%
- Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?Florida 99%
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?Raphael Warnock 12%
- Will the SAVE America Act become law?Before Jan 1, 2027 4%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
