Polymarket
MN-04 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 45-50% at 27%, ahead of Democrat 50-55% at 25%. $55 traded in the last 24 hours, $9K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 45-50% 27%
- 24 hours
- up 3 pts
- Traded today
- $55
- Traded in all
- $9K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Democrat 45-50%27%▲ 3
- Democrat 50-55%25%▲ 6
- Democrat 40-45%13%▼ 3
- Democrat 35-40%10%▼ 2
- Democrat 60%+6%▼ 5
- Democrat 30-35%4%
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%3:46 AM3:46 PM3:46 AM27% Democrat 45-50%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 45-50%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
