Polymarket

MN-05 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 55-60% at 23%, ahead of Democrat 65-70% at 17%. $474 traded in the last 24 hours, $13K in all.

Favorite
Democrat 55-60% 23%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$474
Traded in all
$13K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 10)

  1. Democrat 55-60%23%
  2. Democrat 65-70%17%▼ 12
  3. Democrat 50-55%16%▲ 3
  4. Democrat 75%+12%▲ 2
  5. Democrat 60-65%11%▼ 9
  6. Democrat 70-75%4%▼ 4

4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%6:19 AM6:19 PM6:19 AM23% Democrat 55-60%

The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 55-60%. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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