Polymarket

MN-08 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 9-12% at 23%, ahead of Republican 6-9% at 22%. $20 traded in the last 24 hours, $8K in all.

Favorite
Republican 9-12% 23%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$20
Traded in all
$8K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 10)

  1. Republican 9-12%23%
  2. Republican 6-9%22%▲ 4
  3. Republican 15-18%18%▼ 1
  4. Republican 12-15%14%▼ 0
  5. Democrat 0-3%10%▼ 6
  6. Republican 18-21%9%

4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%2:10 PM2:10 AM2:10 PM23% Republican 9-12%

The line follows the current favorite, Republican 9-12%. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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