Polymarket
MO-01 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 60-65% at 19%, ahead of Democrat 65-70% at 18%. $300 traded in the last 24 hours, $11K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 60-65% 19%
- 24 hours
- down 2 pts
- Traded today
- $300
- Traded in all
- $11K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Democrat 60-65%19%▼ 2
- Democrat 65-70%18%
- Democrat 55-60%15%▲ 3
- Democrat 45-50%14%
- Democrat 35-45%13%
- Democrat 50-55%12%
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%3:42 AM3:42 PM3:42 AM19% Democrat 60-65%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 60-65%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.