Polymarket

MO-01 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 60-65% at 19%, ahead of Democrat 65-70% at 18%. $300 traded in the last 24 hours, $11K in all.

Favorite
Democrat 60-65% 19%
24 hours
down 2 pts
Traded today
$300
Traded in all
$11K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 10)

  1. Democrat 60-65%19%▼ 2
  2. Democrat 65-70%18%
  3. Democrat 55-60%15%▲ 3
  4. Democrat 45-50%14%
  5. Democrat 35-45%13%
  6. Democrat 50-55%12%

4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%3:42 AM3:42 PM3:42 AM19% Democrat 60-65%

The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 60-65%. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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