Polymarket

MO-02 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 0-3% at 20%, ahead of Republican 3-6% at 16%. $182 traded in the last 24 hours, $16K in all.

Favorite
Democrat 0-3% 20%
24 hours
up 1 pts
Traded today
$182
Traded in all
$16K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 10)

  1. Democrat 0-3%20%▲ 1
  2. Republican 3-6%16%▲ 1
  3. Republican 6-9%16%▲ 2
  4. Democrat 3-6%14%▲ 9
  5. Republican 0-3%12%▼ 2
  6. Democrat 6%+10%▼ 0

4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%12:14 PM12:14 AM12:14 PM20% Democrat 0-3%

The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 0-3%. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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