Polymarket

MO-03 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 15-20% at 25%, ahead of Republican 10-15% at 21%. $340 traded in the last 24 hours, $11K in all.

Favorite
Republican 15-20% 25%
24 hours
up 8 pts
Traded today
$340
Traded in all
$11K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 8)

  1. Republican 15-20%25%▲ 8
  2. Republican 10-15%21%
  3. Republican 25-30%15%
  4. Republican 5-10%15%▼ 1
  5. Republican 20-25%14%▲ 1
  6. Republican 30%+9%▲ 1

2 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%9:02 AM9:02 PM9:02 AM25% Republican 15-20%

The line follows the current favorite, Republican 15-20%. One reading an hour.

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