Polymarket

MO-04 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 30%+ at 60%, ahead of Republican 25-30% at 17%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $13K in all.

Favorite
Republican 30%+ 60%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$0
Traded in all
$13K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 8)

  1. Republican 30%+60%
  2. Republican 25-30%17%
  3. Republican 10-15%9%▲ 4
  4. Republican 20-25%8%▲ 1
  5. Republican 15-20%7%▼ 2
  6. Republican 0-5%3%▼ 1

2 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%5:26 AM5:26 PM5:26 AM60% Republican 30%+

The line follows the current favorite, Republican 30%+. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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