Polymarket
MO-05 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 3%+ at 95%, ahead of Republican 0-3% at 3%. $950 traded in the last 24 hours, $60K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 3%+ 95%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $950
- Traded in all
- $60K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Democrat 3%+95%
- Republican 0-3%3%
- Democrat 0-3%2%
- Republican 18-21%<1%
- Republican 12-15%<1%
- Republican 21%+<1%
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%2:49 AM2:49 PM2:49 AM95% Democrat 3%+
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 3%+. One reading an hour.
Embed these odds on your site
Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.
See this market on Polymarket →
More other elections markets
- California Governor winner? (Person)Xavier Becerra 96%
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?Nithya Raman 60%
- Lima Mayoral Election WinnerRafael López Aliaga 92%
- Bulgaria Presidential ElectionIliana Iotova 89%
- 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)Democrats, 8 to 10% 28%
- Los Angeles Mayoral ElectionNithya Raman 60%
- Serbia Parliamentary Election WinnerAleksandar Vučić – United Serbia 66%
- Taipei mayoral election winner?Chiang Wan-an 71%
Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
