Polymarket

MO-08 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 40-45% at 33%, ahead of Republican 45-50% at 24%. $111 traded in the last 24 hours, $9K in all.

Favorite
Republican 40-45% 33%
24 hours
down 1 pts
Traded today
$111
Traded in all
$9K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 10)

  1. Republican 40-45%33%▼ 1
  2. Republican 45-50%24%▲ 4
  3. Republican 35-40%23%
  4. Republican 50-55%18%▲ 3
  5. Republican 0-20%10%▲ 2
  6. Republican 30-35%6%▼ 3

4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%1:49 PM1:49 AM1:49 PM33% Republican 40-45%

The line follows the current favorite, Republican 40-45%. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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