Polymarket

Montana Senate Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 9-12% at 21%, ahead of Republican 12-15% at 18%. $845 traded in the last 24 hours, $18K in all.

Favorite
Republican 9-12% 21%
24 hours
down 1 pts
Traded today
$845
Traded in all
$18K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 11)

  1. Republican 9-12%21%▼ 1
  2. Republican 12-15%18%▲ 6
  3. Republican 15-18%17%▲ 8
  4. Republican 18-21%16%▲ 8
  5. Republican 3-6%10%▼ 0
  6. Republican 21%+9%

5 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%11:34 AM11:34 PM11:34 AM21% Republican 9-12%

The line follows the current favorite, Republican 9-12%. One reading an hour.

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