Polymarket
MS-01 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 20-25% at 25%, ahead of Republican 25-30% at 18%. $729 traded in the last 24 hours, $23K in all.
- Favorite
- Republican 20-25% 25%
- 24 hours
- down 5 pts
- Traded today
- $729
- Traded in all
- $23K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Republican 20-25%25%▼ 5
- Republican 25-30%18%▼ 4
- Republican 15-20%12%▲ 4
- Republican 30-35%12%▼ 3
- Republican 35-40%8%
- Republican 5-15%4%▼ 3
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%5:25 AM5:25 PM5:25 AM25% Republican 20-25%
The line follows the current favorite, Republican 20-25%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
