Polymarket
MS-02 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 20-25% at 31%, ahead of Democrat 30-35% at 25%. $94 traded in the last 24 hours, $14K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 20-25% 31%
- 24 hours
- up 9 pts
- Traded today
- $94
- Traded in all
- $14K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Democrat 20-25%31%▲ 9
- Democrat 30-35%25%▼ 6
- Democrat 25-30%20%▼ 0
- Democrat 35-40%17%
- Democrat 40-45%7%
- Democrat 45%+4%
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%8:14 AM8:14 PM8:14 AM31% Democrat 20-25%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 20-25%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
