Polymarket
MS-03 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 20-25% at 28%, ahead of Republican 25-30% at 25%. $581 traded in the last 24 hours, $12K in all.
- Favorite
- Republican 20-25% 28%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $581
- Traded in all
- $12K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 9)
- Republican 20-25%28%
- Republican 25-30%25%▲ 1
- Republican 15-20%18%▲ 9
- Republican 30-35%14%▼ 2
- Republican 10-15%9%▲ 3
- Republican 35-40%7%▲ 6
3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%9:24 AM9:24 PM9:24 AM28% Republican 20-25%
The line follows the current favorite, Republican 20-25%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
