Polymarket

MT-01 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 0-3% at 28%, ahead of Democrat 3-6% at 18%. $169 traded in the last 24 hours, $6K in all.

Favorite
Republican 0-3% 28%
24 hours
up 5 pts
Traded today
$169
Traded in all
$6K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 10)

  1. Republican 0-3%28%▲ 5
  2. Democrat 3-6%18%▲ 13
  3. Democrat 0-3%14%▼ 5
  4. Republican 3-6%13%▼ 11
  5. Republican 6-9%12%▲ 4
  6. Republican 12%+9%▲ 1

4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%9:57 AM9:57 PM9:57 AM28% Republican 0-3%

The line follows the current favorite, Republican 0-3%. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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