Polymarket

MT-02 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 15-20% at 36%, ahead of Republican 25-30% at 23%. $162 traded in the last 24 hours, $10K in all.

Favorite
Republican 15-20% 36%
24 hours
down 5 pts
Traded today
$162
Traded in all
$10K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 9)

  1. Republican 15-20%36%▼ 5
  2. Republican 25-30%23%▲ 8
  3. Republican 20-25%22%▼ 7
  4. Republican 40%+15%▲ 6
  5. Republican 30-35%10%▲ 3
  6. Republican 10-15%8%

3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%9:56 AM9:56 PM9:56 AM36% Republican 15-20%

The line follows the current favorite, Republican 15-20%. One reading an hour.

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