Polymarket
NC-02 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 45-50% at 24%, ahead of Democrat 50-55% at 19%. $75 traded in the last 24 hours, $7K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 45-50% 24%
- 24 hours
- down 0 pts
- Traded today
- $75
- Traded in all
- $7K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Democrat 45-50%24%▼ 0
- Democrat 50-55%19%
- Democrat 40-45%18%▲ 3
- Democrat 35-40%17%▼ 2
- Democrat 55%+12%
- Democrat 25-30%7%▲ 1
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%9:04 AM9:04 PM9:04 AM24% Democrat 45-50%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 45-50%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
