Polymarket

NC-03 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 6-9% at 22%, ahead of Republican 9-12% at 20%. $103 traded in the last 24 hours, $8K in all.

Favorite
Republican 6-9% 22%
24 hours
down 0 pts
Traded today
$103
Traded in all
$8K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 10)

  1. Republican 6-9%22%▼ 0
  2. Republican 9-12%20%
  3. Republican 3-6%17%▲ 1
  4. Republican 12-15%14%▲ 2
  5. Republican 18%+14%▲ 1
  6. Republican 0-3%7%▼ 1

4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%6:18 AM6:18 PM6:18 AM22% Republican 6-9%

The line follows the current favorite, Republican 6-9%. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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