Polymarket
NC-04 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 55-60% at 32%, ahead of Democrat 50-55% at 25%. $272 traded in the last 24 hours, $14K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 55-60% 32%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $272
- Traded in all
- $14K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Democrat 55-60%32%
- Democrat 50-55%25%
- Democrat 60%+22%
- Democrat 45-50%8%
- Democrat 40-45%6%
- Democrat 30-35%2%▲ 1
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%9:56 AM9:56 PM9:56 AM32% Democrat 55-60%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 55-60%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
