Polymarket

NC-05 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 12-15% at 24%, ahead of Republican 9-12% at 23%. $20 traded in the last 24 hours, $8K in all.

Favorite
Republican 12-15% 24%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$20
Traded in all
$8K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 10)

  1. Republican 12-15%24%
  2. Republican 9-12%23%
  3. Republican 6-9%16%
  4. Republican 3-6%10%▲ 1
  5. Republican 21%+5%
  6. Republican 15-18%5%

4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%1:10 PM1:10 AM1:10 PM24% Republican 12-15%

The line follows the current favorite, Republican 12-15%. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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