Polymarket

NC-06 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 6-9% at 21%, ahead of Republican 15-18% at 16%. $70 traded in the last 24 hours, $4K in all.

Favorite
Republican 6-9% 21%
24 hours
up 8 pts
Traded today
$70
Traded in all
$4K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 10)

  1. Republican 6-9%21%▲ 8
  2. Republican 15-18%16%▲ 2
  3. Republican 12-15%14%
  4. Republican 3-6%14%▲ 1
  5. Republican 18%+10%▼ 3
  6. Republican 9-12%9%

4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%9:55 AM9:55 PM9:55 AM21% Republican 6-9%

The line follows the current favorite, Republican 6-9%. One reading an hour.

Embed these odds on your site

Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.

See this market on Polymarket →

More other elections markets

Every other elections market →

Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

Data partnerLunarCrushThe Pulse, our social buzz and sentiment data, is powered by LunarCrush. How it works